US Automotive — Airgo SoS Sector Report

Travel & Transport · 63 brands · trailing 12 months · US market

Updated July 2026 · data through 5 Jul 2026

This is the living Share of Search picture for the US Automotive sector — each brand's slice of total search interest, the leading indicator of where market share is heading. It tracks 63 brands over the trailing twelve months and refreshes every month. Ford currently leads with 10.1% average Share of Search in a competitive field.

Leader — Ford
10.5%+0.82pp MoM
Share of Search, Jul 2026
Concentration (HHI)
457+27 vs 13 mo ago
competitive field · top-3 hold 27.4%
Biggest YoY mover
Ford
+1.55pp vs same month last year
Notable spikes
85
explained search spikes, last 6 months

Share of search over time

Five years of weekly Share of Search for the current leaders. Ford sets the pace, with its nearest challenger Toyota 1.1 points back. Click any brand in the legend to isolate it, hover for the exact weekly reading, or drag the slider beneath the chart to zoom into a single period. Pins mark statistically unusual spikes from the last six months — hover one for the likely cause.

The last 12 months of weekly Share of Search per brand — the current value, the shape of the year, and the gap to the brand's own 12-month average.

Ford10.5%
+0.45pp vs 12-mo avg
Toyota8.9%
-0.06pp vs 12-mo avg
Honda8.7%
+0.32pp vs 12-mo avg
Chevrolet5.3%
+0.64pp vs 12-mo avg
BMW4.4%
+0.15pp vs 12-mo avg
Jeep2.5%
-1.71pp vs 12-mo avg
Nissan4.2%
+0.24pp vs 12-mo avg
Tesla3.9%
+0.10pp vs 12-mo avg
Dodge3.4%
+0.13pp vs 12-mo avg
Kia3.6%
+0.47pp vs 12-mo avg
GMC3.0%
+0.10pp vs 12-mo avg
Hyundai3.0%
+0.13pp vs 12-mo avg

Current standings (last 12m)

Ford holds 10.1% of sector search, with 18 brands clearing the 2% mark. Toggle between the twelve-month average and the latest month to see who is over- or under-indexing right now.

Year-over-year movers (last 12m)

Versus Jul 2025, Ford has gained the most ground (+1.55pp), while Jeep has given up the most (-2.29pp). The split between green and red is the clearest read on where attention is migrating within the sector.

Market concentration (last 5y)

Over the last five years the Automotive sector's concentration has tightened. It currently averages an HHI of 449 (competitive), with the top three brands holding 27.4% of search interest between them.

How to read HHI. The Herfindahl–Hirschman Index sums the squared Share of Search of every brand in the sector, so it climbs when attention concentrates in a few names and falls when it is spread widely. As a rule of thumb: under 1,500 is competitive, 1,500–2,500 moderately concentrated, and above 2,500 highly concentrated. At 449 this sector is competitive — for scale, a single brand owning all search would score 10,000, while twenty equally sized brands would score 500. The gold line tracks the combined share of the three largest brands.

Growth–share momentum map (last 12m)

Each dot is a brand, placed by its average Share of Search (horizontal) against its average week-over-week momentum (vertical). The four quadrants separate the leaders pulling away from the vulnerable incumbents and the rising challengers. Kia is both large and growing (top-right); Porsche is a smaller challenger on the rise (top-left). Hover any point for its exact figures.

Seasonality by month (5y average)

Each cell is a brand's average Share of Search in that calendar month over the last five years, indexed to the brand's own average (100). Warm cells are a brand's hot months, cool cells its quiet ones. The strongest seasonal peak belongs to Honda in January (index 125); the deepest trough is Tesla in September (index 82).

The two charts below are a separate signal: how large language models describe this category and its brands, surveyed weekly across Anthropic, OpenAI, and Google. They sit alongside Share of Search as a second, AI-channel lens — not blended into it.

AI-rated category drivers (this week)

What large language models say matters most when discussing automotive brands, blended across Anthropic, OpenAI, and Google models surveyed weekly. "Price and Affordability" currently ranks highest, at 13 of roughly 100 points allocated across every driver the models consider.

AI Recommendation Potential – LLM brand scores over time

Each brand's AI-rated composite score — its cross-provider score on every driver, weighted by that driver's importance the same week — tracked from the start of AI Recommendation Potential tracking. Toyota currently leads at 91. This is a distinct AI-channel signal — how models describe the category — not a search-behavior metric, which is why it's shown as its own chart rather than blended into Share of Search above.

Notable search spikes (last 6m)

The largest statistically unusual jumps or drops in a brand's weekly Share of Search over the last 6 months, each paired with the most likely cause. A spike is flagged when a brand's search interest moves several standard deviations from its recent norm; the magnitude is the size of that move against the brand's own baseline. Direction shows whether interest rose or fell.

BrandPeak weekMoveMagnitudeSeverityWhat happened
Ring Automotive05 Apr 2026▲ Rose+322%criticalRing Automotive Dashcam promotional push
Rivian08 Feb 2026▲ Rose+321%artifactR2 model launch and delivery targets
Fiat08 Feb 2026▲ Rose+310%artifactSuper Bowl ad/marketing spike
Mini05 Apr 2026▲ Rose+198%artifactSpring car buying season begins
Subaru08 Feb 2026▲ Rose+194%artifactSuper Bowl ad/marketing spike
Slate Auto29 Mar 2026▲ Rose+175%artifactSlate Auto's March Madness sponsorships
Dunlop29 Mar 2026▲ Rose+161%artifactDunlop racing tire launch
Chevron29 Mar 2026▲ Rose+157%artifactOil prices surge, geopolitical tensions
Mercedes-Benz08 Feb 2026▲ Rose+131%artifactSuper Bowl ad search interest boost
Michelin05 Apr 2026▲ Rose+126%artifactSpring travel surge, pre-summer demand
Maserati01 Feb 2026▲ Rose+118%artifactMCPura Cielo Frozen Magma debut
SMART Car29 Mar 2026▲ Rose+112%artifactNVIDIA GTC driving AI innovation
Shell05 Apr 2026▲ Rose+101%artifactEaster travel surge; fuel demand
Rivian07 Jun 2026▲ Rose+100%artifactNew EV model reveal speculation
Ram05 Apr 2026▲ Rose+96%artifactNew Ram truck model promotion

Showing the 15 largest of 85 flagged spikes in the last 6 months.

Brand correlations (last 12m)

How brands' weekly Share of Search moved relative to one another over the last 12 months. A positive correlation means two brands rise and fall together — a shared audience, consideration set, or category-level demand. A negative correlation means that when one gains search attention the other tends to lose it — a sign of direct substitutes competing for the same interest.

Move together — strongest positive

These brands tend to rise and fall in tandem, pointing to a shared audience or a category-level wave lifting them at the same time.

BrandBrandCorrelation (r)Strength
MiniRam+0.76Strong
GMCSubaru+0.68Moderate
DodgeKia+0.46Moderate
JeepDodge+0.44Moderate
FordToyota+0.39Weak
KiaRam+0.38Weak
BMWNissan+0.36Weak
FordBMW+0.33Weak

Move apart — strongest negative

When one of these brands gains search share the other tends to give it up — the clearest read on direct substitutes. Note that Share of Search is a slice of a fixed 100%, so a little negative correlation is structural (strongest between the largest brands); similarly sized pairs are the more telling substitution signals.

BrandBrandCorrelation (r)Strength
ChevroletRam-0.60Moderate
ToyotaHonda-0.52Moderate
HondaBMW-0.50Moderate
ChevroletMini-0.48Moderate
FordTesla-0.44Moderate
HondaNissan-0.43Moderate
ToyotaJeep-0.43Moderate
BMWTesla-0.41Moderate

Economic factors (last 3y)

How the sector's overall search interest tracks key macroeconomic indicators. A positive r means search tends to rise as the indicator rises; a negative r means search rises as the indicator falls. A strong correlation can reflect genuine economic sensitivity or simply a shared long-run trend, so weigh the direction against a plausible mechanism.

Economic indicatorCorrelation (r)SignificanceDirection
CPI: New Vehicles-0.57p<0.001Negative
Unemployment Rate+0.52p<0.001Positive
USD/GBP Exchange Rate+0.50p<0.001Positive
CPI: Used Vehicles-0.49p<0.001Negative
Personal Savings Rate-0.44p<0.001Negative
Delinquency Rate: All Loans+0.43p<0.001Positive
Real Disposable Income+0.41p<0.001Positive
10Y-2Y Treasury Spread+0.40p<0.001Positive
CPI: Gasoline-0.39p<0.001Negative
Delinquency Rate: Consumer Loans+0.38p<0.001Positive
Core PCE Inflation+0.37p<0.001Positive
Initial Jobless Claims (4wk avg)+0.35p<0.001Positive

Explore the wider data set

Airgo tracks over 100 sectors and 3,300 brands. While a few are available on the website, contact us to talk about working together to look at your sector and competitors.

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Methodology: Share of Search is GTAB-normalised Google Trends data, each brand expressed as a percentage of total sector search interest. 63 Automotive brands, US market; standings, movers and momentum cover the trailing 12 months, with five years of history shown for the trend and concentration charts. Updated monthly. AI-rated driver importance and brand scores come from a separate weekly 3-provider (Anthropic/OpenAI/Google) LLM survey and measure AI-channel perception, not search behavior. © 2026 New Classic Consulting LLC.